TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x174b…7a05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?backed Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.32
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.54
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$65.82
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.95
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$136.18
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.01
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.47
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.21
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$67.67
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.87
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$99.71
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
All 6 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.65
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$107.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$203.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$169.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.