NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0fd76b4a90073854a9c27362d7bd1c54fe1acfd28d85b93e67de6cd5c19e69f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Raptors, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,750,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,102,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,750,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 23c | 501,400$115,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,321.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Raptors | 0c | 447,418$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.3 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 78c | 378,369$294,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,907.52 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 338,267$260,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,801.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Raptors | 17c | 275,663$47,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,519.29 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Raptors | 23c | 220,987$51,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,548.56 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 80c | 136,414$108,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,791.16 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 23c | 71,786$16,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,510.76 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Raptors | 16c | 70,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.98 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Cavaliers | 77c | 59,770$46,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,603.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cavaliers | 77c | 49,310$37,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,341.3 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Cavaliers | 77c | 49,310$37,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,341.3 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 49,310$37,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,341.3 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Raptors | 21c | 40,581$8,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,562.45 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers | 77c | 38,730$30,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,726.11 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Raptors | 25c | 37,350$9,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,161.08 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cavaliers | 76c | 35,665$27,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,502.12 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86c…6c37backed Raptors | 0c | 31,266$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers | 77c | 30,732$23,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.81 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed Raptors | 2c | 28,647$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.73 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Raptors | 21c | 28,070$5,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.19 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Raptors | 1c | 25,734$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 24c | 22,204$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…5ac5backed Raptors | 23c | 22,000$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +62%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Raptors | 5c | 21,395$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.89 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Raptors | 24c | 20,579$4,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.02 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Cavaliers | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.88 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Cavaliers | 79c | 16,449$12,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.33 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 76c | 15,408$11,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.45 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…24bbbacked Raptors | 1c | 15,041$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Cavaliers | 72c | 13,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.99 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Cavaliers | 77c | 12,808$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.79 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 77c | 12,808$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.79 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 12,808$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.79 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 23c | 12,318$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors | 0c | 11,676$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Cavaliers | 79c | 10,006$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 9,990$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.72 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Raptors | 24c | 9,759$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.25 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Raptors | 13c | 9,030$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.65 | 189 | 30.7%58 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 79c | 8,887$7,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Cavaliers | 77c | 8,876$6,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.43 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Raptors | 24c | 8,813$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.01 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Raptors | 24c | 8,772$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.28 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 73c | 8,728$6,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.35 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc6…1d96backed Raptors | 23c | 8,700$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Raptors | 5c | 8,555$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.46 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Cavaliers | 77c | 8,325$6,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Raptors | 23c | 8,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Raptors | 22c | 8,000$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.98 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Raptors | 24c | 7,953$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.8 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Raptors | 24c | 7,953$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.8 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Cavaliers | 76c | 7,500$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Cavaliers | 76c | 7,317$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.97 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 78c | 7,184$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.8 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors | 0c | 7,174$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 25c | 7,169$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…abf0backed Cavaliers | 76c | 6,900$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Raptors | 18c | 6,673$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.23 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Raptors | 11c | 6,428$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.27 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…e2fdbacked Raptors | 23c | 6,200$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Raptors | 3c | 6,110$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d215backed Raptors | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Raptors | 1c | 5,695$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Raptors | 23c | 5,611$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.65 | 351 | 29.6%104 W · 247 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 5,600$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.96 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 79c | 5,545$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.56 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Cavaliers | 76c | 5,424$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Raptors | 24c | 5,369$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.44 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Raptors | 23c | 5,080$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Raptors | 23c | 5,010$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.3 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Raptors | 20c | 4,980$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.29 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Cavaliers | 77c | 4,842$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cavaliers | 76c | 4,742$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.15 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…f0fdbacked Raptors | 23c | 4,600$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…5608backed Cavaliers | 76c | 4,500$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Raptors | 6c | 4,431$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Raptors | 24c | 4,374$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.84 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…91d6backed Cavaliers | 76c | 4,300$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Cavaliers | 77c | 4,157$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Raptors | 21c | 4,151$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Raptors | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…6729backed Cavaliers | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Cavaliers | 75c | 3,989$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.37 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Raptors | 24c | 3,977$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…0ef3backed Raptors | 5c | 3,970$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 24c | 3,961$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.58 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…3b9dbacked Raptors | 23c | 3,935$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…0ddfbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 3,934$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Raptors | 28c | 3,887$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.43 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Cavaliers | 77c | 3,842$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.74 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Raptors | 2c | 3,834$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b77…ee2cbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 3,778$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.01 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…18a6backed Cavaliers | 76c | 3,700$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…c7e5backed Raptors | 25c | 3,462$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.97 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Raptors | 24c | 3,436$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.6 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…a0c7backed Raptors | 23c | 3,321$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Raptors | 1c | 3,202$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Raptors | 24c | 3,150$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.88 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Raptors | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.01 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.