NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd43dd4af769bd62bf4650acf8cb8664ed134210c270fc0c24db3a0d8005116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 15,851$8,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,026.79 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 10,080$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 9,584$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.8 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 2,892$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.34 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 2,849$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.4 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.96 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 2,495$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.39 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,345$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6273…82edbacked Under | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 53c | 934$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.98 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 810.61$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.49 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 49c | 443.9$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.74 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Under | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…5c6abacked Over | 51c | 379.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.07 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…5b61backed Under | 54c | 360.94$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 249.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Under | 50c | 242.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 52c | 238.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 235.94$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 226.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 50c | 194.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…ccc1backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Over | 51c | 190.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 189.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 147.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 146.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 54c | 131.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 46c | 114.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Over | 48c | 101.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 99.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Under | 52c | 92.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 50c | 76.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 49c | 67.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Under | 49c | 59.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…c32bbacked Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 40.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 77c | 38.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 49c | 37.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 52c | 27.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 48c | 26.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Under | 49c | 26.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 65c | 24.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…7536backed Over | 48c | 21.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 49c | 20.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.