TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,825 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c3,512$1,663 inWon+$1,848.711,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6232…7078backed Under52c3,491$1,815 inLost-$1,815.37825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over66c1,436$946 inWon+$490.2593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Over51c1,296$667 inWon+$629.231850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under34c1,195$409 inLost-$408.5434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under49c813.86$396 inLost-$396.4761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under60c810.85$488 inLost-$488.0627158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c529.4$274 inWon+$255.363,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x150c…cbb4backed Under37c517.08$192 inLost-$192.471233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over52c211.05$110 inWon+$101.38952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over46c210.35$97 inWon+$113.596233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x02f0…1a03backed Under8c200$16 inLost-$163420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under52c199.99$103 inLost-$103.541050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c140.13$67 inLost-$67.2689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c110.02$55 inWon+$55.362,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under52c97.12$51 inLost-$50.51,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c77.98$39 inWon+$39.472,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over69c77.21$53 inWon+$23.7983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aad…74a0backed Under30c75.72$23 inLost-$22.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Under52c74.71$39 inLost-$38.8553250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under49c59.14$29 inLost-$29.091,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Under48c43.8$21 inLost-$21.021866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under48c40.37$19 inLost-$19.383751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under50c34.92$17 inLost-$17.4620144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under45c34.6$16 inLost-$15.5715353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x305a…a173backed Under52c22.51$12 inLost-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over55c22.11$12 inWon+$9.9337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c21.07$12 inLost-$11.613,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.