NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24fcf0280bfd0555b736de3e1576fd53d707961099d73eff1772763b965912a

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,079 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	56c	2,555$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.23	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under	43c	1,680$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.27	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Over	53c	1,245$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.24	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+6.5wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+82%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	55c	1,008$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.61	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Under	47c	968.2$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.05	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	34c	900.03$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.35	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddf…ee85backed Over	55c	900$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	55c	875.14$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.02	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	45c	867.05$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.17	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Under	45c	780.03$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.89	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over	53c	746.29$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.03	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	68c	700.41$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.44	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	47c	661.28$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.8	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	45c	520.99$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.45	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	47c	510.1$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.34	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c0…01f3backed Over	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	53c	443.37$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.38	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under	43c	361.67$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.52	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	43c	292.3$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.69	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under	24c	207.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	53c	206.6$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.07	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x65e9…b2d5backed Under	47c	206$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	57c	194.84$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.78	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e40…a06bbacked Over	55c	194.6$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.57	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	53cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	55c	178.61$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.54	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over	56c	171.9$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.03	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under	47c	158.78$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.63	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b65…6b1bbacked Under	47c	134.6$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.19	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	55c	97.3$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.79	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under	48c	97.06$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	94$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	56c	90.48$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.75	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over	56c	84.7$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.27	200	55.5%111 W · 89 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	45c	79.96$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.98	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f52…51f9backed Under	45c	75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	45c	74.94$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.72	367	49.6%182 W · 185 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	55c	70.76$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.84	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over	57c	68.48$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.45	235	49.4%116 W · 119 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…0650backed Over	57c	68.36$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over	55c	53.07$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.88	253	60.1%152 W · 101 L	+26.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	58c	50.59$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	58c	50.14$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.23	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	44c	48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	57c	46.77$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.98	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…48dfbacked Under	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-5.1wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+5.4wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	55c	36.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.64	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	44c	35.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	211	49.3%104 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	41c	32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under	43c	29.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over	54c	27.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over	52c	26.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.59	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…2e01backed Over	57c	25.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.02	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-4.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdf9f…1390backed Over	57c	25.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.02	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over	55c	25.47$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.46	462	55.6%257 W · 205 L	+22.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over	55c	22.72$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over	57c	22.7$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	80	57.5%46 W · 34 L	+7.0wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa684…ca71backed Over	52c	22.22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-7.0wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under	48c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over	55c	20.06$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.03	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	390	41%160 W · 230 L	-32.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked Over	57c	18.2$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.83	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event