TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Under55c70,435$38,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,990.67243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over51c61,984$31,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,372.1243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over51c46,130$23,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,744.3511137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c24,343$11,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,994.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under49c22,565$11,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,028.8815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c12,144$5,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,233.911,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under49c9,853$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.0225248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c8,694$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over56c4,377$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.3916846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c3,772$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.651,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under46c1,929$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.5259653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under49c1,796$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.6114052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c1,682$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.9965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c1,636$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.5137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c1,591$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.8163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under49c1,530$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.71,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,525$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.221,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c1,191$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.232,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under1c1,040$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.946543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Over15c1,025$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.757326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Over4c995.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.321816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+124.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over56c889$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over22c867$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.626639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Over7c850$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.53013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4245,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over53c791.33$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.938148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over22c768$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.2378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under50c739.08$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2820647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Over25c692$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.86648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c681.9$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Over26c532$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.413837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over9c525$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.755416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over28c500$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36117748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under49c494.59$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3520946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c491.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3834850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over8c484.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.6730224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under47c476.96$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over22c474$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5231238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over22c474$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over54c454.47$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7715543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c421.02$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.721,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Over8c400$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3681513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba70…a6cabacked Over52c367.11$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over52c361.82$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.671,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over49c309.02$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.656043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over49c306.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0810854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under51c291.18$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over26c266$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.923649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Over26c266$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.716640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over26c266$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.721242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over26c266$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.945544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over52c256.47$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Over22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1954037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+93.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Over28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.514449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under49c235.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3831953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Under50c232.34$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.348057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c210$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.778652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8856154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Over31c200$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1397339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Over31c200$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1397839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Over31c200$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13912637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c181.13$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.941,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.832065%13 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over25c173$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3523441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under47c169.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c162.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.931,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under48c157.65$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2116642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Under50c155.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.631915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Over20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under48c143$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6427246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over30c140$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.440440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c136.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4137665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xad50…6c25backed Under51c121.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.851127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c116.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Over13c115.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.321643.8%7 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick18cpaid+168.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Over49c105.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3713857.2%79 W · 59 L+13.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over49c104.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0823549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.445056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4711653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Under51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.518839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4533…e6bbbacked Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.513441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5338545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over56c92.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5537848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.222942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1852…76ccbacked Over53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.471866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c70.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.191,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed1…b3a0backed Under49c67.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf500…958dbacked Under50c64.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over51c62.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.