TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Under45c21,282$9,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,672.727243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c16,494$8,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,506.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under27c1,304$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.211,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over56c1,125$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7620647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over59c996.19$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0444052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over63c778.35$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over55c672.97$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9214052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c576.14$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…1a03backed Under10c499.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Under38c450$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under36c405.59$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.011,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c405.41$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.171,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over61c402.9$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.829652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over57c333$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7234850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over58c330$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.624955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over55c329.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over76c302.96$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under41c300$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under44c264.93$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under39c253.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c82…d28cbacked Over57c222.19$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa382…d301backed Under42c216.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc83a…a701backed Under45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over56c212.8$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.131,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over54c197.18$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c184.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.569049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4926048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7813655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over56c162.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.598057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c138.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.91,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over54c121.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.148850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c111.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.461,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under30c111.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3522836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over57c102.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3225360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under46c101.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.435560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Over55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab0…6364backed Over56c99.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under23c95.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b5…5b6abacked Under44c95.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.891442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd7…e7a5backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.251533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f6…8804backed Over58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.295151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over54c82.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1110745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0513…fd81backed Over56c81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under41c80.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.063743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under44c79.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5916842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over58c79.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2223549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c78.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.441,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe865…9925backed Over57c76.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over54c74.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4936749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over62c73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7420055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under38c70.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c69.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.739041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Under39c58.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6923651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c57.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.661,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under46c54.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8520146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c50.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.083,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under41c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c1…fca4backed Over61c47.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.364151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under40c47.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under45c47.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1716653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under38c45.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.393,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Over56c45.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.973756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7114144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over57c44.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.273554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8127354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…36c6backed Over56c42.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.854454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3710046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be6…738dbacked Over55c39.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9dc…0922backed Over55c38.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under43c38.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6137037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under43c38.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3621149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under43c36.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.333545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under45c35.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1219357.5%111 W · 82 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over57c35.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1824652.8%130 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over61c34.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5732450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8535…c307backed Over56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.38360.2%50 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over59c34.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2316749.1%82 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d60backed Over57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71625%4 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5618757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c29.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeccf…beebbacked Under45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae0…923bbacked Under45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b4…3991backed Under45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1acd…1692backed Over57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over56c25.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0146255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10a1…578abacked Over58c25.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.392441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c25.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d20…c495backed Under45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb979…a2c0backed Under45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac34…320ebacked Under45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2560%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Over62c23.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9821651.4%111 W · 105 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c96…4fa0backed Under44c23.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6322…a886backed Over56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff38…beecbacked Over56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.