NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x816a1dfcf8cc85df4d42851c681484b43400266b9d0fade012f6688fa78e95ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Cavaliers | 55c | 63,333$34,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,500.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +90%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Cavaliers | 61c | 39,005$23,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,212.12 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Raptors | 45c | 35,416$15,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,937.2 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Raptors | 45c | 27,018$12,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,157.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 47c | 23,412$11,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,024.82 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 57c | 15,780$9,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,733.47 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cavaliers | 61c | 13,143$8,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.8 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 10,340$6,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.37 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 8,520$4,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.71 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Raptors | 0c | 8,056$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 6,870$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.06 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Raptors | 54c | 6,752$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 57c | 5,455$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 31c | 3,919$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,406$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.15 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 3,271$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 44c | 3,058$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 45c | 2,608$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.44 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,540$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.15 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,292$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.25 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 44c | 2,106$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.74 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Raptors | 46c | 2,010$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 46c | 1,870$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Raptors | 2c | 1,818$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…6669backed Raptors | 48c | 1,429$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,261$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.84 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,110$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 46c | 1,059$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers | 54c | 991.43$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.57 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Raptors | 45c | 984.07$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.02 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 52c | 931.71$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.22 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Raptors | 46c | 871.67$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors | 43c | 782.47$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.11 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Cavaliers | 55c | 751.86$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.34 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 746.28$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.95 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…3d96backed Cavaliers | 54c | 700$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Raptors | 45c | 640.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.23 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Raptors | 46c | 628.94$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.31 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Raptors | 39c | 628.59$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.36 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 625$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Raptors | 49c | 605.88$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Cavaliers | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Raptors | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors | 2c | 512.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Raptors | 46c | 415.05$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Raptors | 47c | 412.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Raptors | 46c | 406.28$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Cavaliers | 48c | 400.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 350.06$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Raptors | 59c | 333.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Raptors | 45c | 307.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 304.19$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Raptors | 48c | 282.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cavaliers | 60c | 261.34$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Raptors | 45c | 249.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Raptors | 47c | 247.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Raptors | 46c | 237.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 232.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Raptors | 47c | 216.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Raptors | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Cavaliers | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Raptors | 47c | 205.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Raptors | 46c | 203.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…56aebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 201.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Cavaliers | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x543d…63a5backed Raptors | 47c | 196.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Cavaliers | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Raptors | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Raptors | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors | 45c | 189.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…db48backed Cavaliers | 54c | 188.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Cavaliers | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Cavaliers | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…3741backed Cavaliers | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Cavaliers | 55c | 175.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 174.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 173.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Raptors | 48c | 163.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 51c | 158.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Raptors | 46c | 152.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Raptors | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Raptors | 47c | 145.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Cavaliers | 55c | 140.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 134.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 130.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Raptors | 47c | 130.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Raptors | 46c | 122.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 119.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Raptors | 52c | 111.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Raptors | 44c | 106.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Cavaliers | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Raptors | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Raptors | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.