TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Raptors, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,572 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Raptors41c3,311$1,352 inLost-$1,351.591,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cavaliers62c1,749$1,081 inWon+$667.1231345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers61c1,739$1,069 inWon+$670.411,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Cavaliers63c1,036$653 inWon+$383.0379650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Raptors33c990.73$331 inLost-$330.8350346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Cavaliers66c882.98$581 inWon+$302.16955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb64c…41dabacked Cavaliers68c834.51$570 inWon+$264.212250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Raptors37c329$123 inLost-$122.7214745.6%67 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Raptors27c314.99$86 inLost-$85.841,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers56c300.22$167 inWon+$132.95,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Cavaliers70c245.5$172 inWon+$73.65875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Raptors52c238.71$124 inLost-$124.131866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68e…85e5backed Raptors32c200.83$64 inLost-$64.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Raptors32c144.02$45 inLost-$45.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Raptors26c137.37$36 inLost-$35.7132654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Cavaliers69c114.82$79 inWon+$35.638736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Raptors38c88.73$34 inLost-$33.7237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2414…f34ebacked Raptors16c77.16$12 inLost-$12.343638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2405…be9dbacked Raptors22c75.29$16 inLost-$16.211741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Raptors36c63.33$23 inLost-$23.083855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers70c56.76$40 inWon+$16.821,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4fc…d401backed Cavaliers68c51.39$35 inWon+$16.456068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Raptors41c50.16$21 inLost-$20.5740750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Raptors45c50.01$22 inLost-$22.356132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x061a…720bbacked Raptors26c48.38$12 inLost-$12.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Raptors31c39$12 inLost-$12.0950651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Cavaliers55c37.33$21 inWon+$16.724254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Raptors39c30.98$12 inLost-$12.0822836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c87…f576backed Cavaliers68c28.85$20 inWon+$9.233053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed Cavaliers69c28.27$20 inWon+$8.6310144.6%45 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Cavaliers63c23.28$15 inWon+$8.617444.6%33 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e7…93aabacked Cavaliers70c21.98$15 inWon+$6.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Cavaliers68c15$10 inWon+$4.826957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.