NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a222c2411975af51eaf59664c4e178a6d2b63e37c2fac9c55038b96b2a891a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $720,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Raptors | 43c | 75,000$32,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,249.97 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 74,250$37,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,125 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 60,764$29,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,241.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Raptors | 50c | 59,184$29,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,591.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Raptors | 50c | 48,381$24,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,190.6 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 73c | 38,192$27,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,379.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Raptors | 51c | 34,622$17,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,550.57 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 29,751$14,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,875.71 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Raptors | 51c | 18,080$9,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,220.7 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Cavaliers | 57c | 17,091$9,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.23 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 49c | 15,208$7,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,452.08 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Raptors | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Raptors | 51c | 14,559$7,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,425.09 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 13,046$6,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,491.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 11,913$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,837.38 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Cavaliers | 57c | 11,773$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.23 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 50c | 11,423$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,711.68 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 11,396$5,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.18 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 11,155$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Raptors | 51c | 11,029$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.84 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 10,893$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,684.1 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers | 49c | 10,820$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.07 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 10,198$5,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.18 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…810abacked Raptors | 0c | 9,886$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +108%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 50c | 9,432$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.86 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,984$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.87 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 7,782$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.18 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 7,374$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,725$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.65 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 46c | 5,359$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.62 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Cavaliers | 57c | 5,238$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.06 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,135$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.42 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.82 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Raptors | 49c | 4,735$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.13 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Raptors | 46c | 4,698$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.56 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 54c | 4,696$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 49c | 4,559$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.89 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 4,295$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.33 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Raptors | 51c | 3,802$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.27 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,338$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,220$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.91 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Raptors | 34c | 3,174$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.95 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,153$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.7 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 49c | 3,095$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,110$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.07 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,028$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.2 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,997$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.61 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Raptors | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…0510backed Raptors | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Raptors | 50c | 1,935$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.08 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…25b8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,933$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,922$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.87 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…312fbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,848$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,841$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.53 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…bf20backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,766$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Raptors | 50c | 1,698$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,657$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.55 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Raptors | 50c | 1,554$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.13 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Raptors | 51c | 1,456$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.51 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,449$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.08 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,415$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.1 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,394$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.78 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,222$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.43 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,212$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raptors | 46c | 1,199$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.32 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Raptors | 55c | 1,168$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.18 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Raptors | 51c | 1,165$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Raptors | 51c | 1,142$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,137$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.65 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…9309backed Raptors | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -66%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Raptors | 50c | 1,105$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Raptors | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.97 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,060$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.89 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Raptors | 51c | 1,044$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.33 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…b6e6backed Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Raptors | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Raptors | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 992.45$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.23 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Raptors | 51c | 989.63$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.71 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Raptors | 58c | 985.99$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Raptors | 50c | 984.92$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.46 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Raptors | 50c | 976.56$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Raptors | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Cavaliers | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Cavaliers | 57c | 942.96$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.21 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Raptors | 54c | 902.05$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.17 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Raptors | 54c | 900.74$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.19 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Raptors | 50c | 898.38$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.19 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Raptors | 54c | 893.54$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.36 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Raptors | 52c | 868.96$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.86 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 50c | 840$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.