TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c15,526$7,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,607.3232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c11,661$5,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,713.721,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c3,682$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over70c3,507$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.7411239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…247dbacked Over70c2,979$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under28c2,901$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.61,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c2,823$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.642,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c2,693$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,437$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.794,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under23c2,332$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.313,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c2,125$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.6363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6406457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Over50c1,994$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.083953.8%21 W · 18 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c1,492$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.911,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,393$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over52c1,304$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.185158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under45c1,280$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.1416743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,156$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.336,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c1,105$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4f…81a1backed Over72c984.18$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over50c898.76$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.387647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c852.99$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under50c785.69$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.728154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c740.31$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.351,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c740.28$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over54c697.96$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.6320946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under50c684.68$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.691,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under5c600.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c581.63$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.733,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ec…9466backed Under50c577.01$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a98…6ca9backed Over51c564.81$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over54c543.56$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6718650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcf…e9c3backed Under50c541.01$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d95…8659backed Under50c539.51$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e2…3290backed Over51c532.88$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1d…c204backed Over52c522.95$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under28c520.47$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9118534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over55c518.25$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7237647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over58c499.06$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over79c422.22$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.491,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Over51c414.68$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.192552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under42c403.51$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.441,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Under47c402.47$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.512254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under28c396.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Under49c392.16$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.761740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Over53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.711153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.513636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd26…294bbacked Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.512343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under15c362$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.321653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Under27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.628641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c337.3$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.095,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Over52c329.04$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.117953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under22c290.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2321640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over60c287.66$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0822836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c244.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Under45c238.52$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over52c219.02$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1356043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Over53c207.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.384346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Over51c199.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.928754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over52c196.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1310552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…55babacked Under50c194.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e8…f83abacked Under50c194.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1214549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a49…f493backed Under50c194.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x407c…b552backed Under50c193.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1080…c725backed Over52c191.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over27c190.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.151,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21cd…5bddbacked Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b2…02babacked Over52c187.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1829345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1813148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…0ad3backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c174.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10c…9bb3backed Over51c173.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.371172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under47c164$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c141.62$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d3bebacked Under48c141.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.821656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over53c128.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1715649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over50c119.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c117.37$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over51c116$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c111.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.633,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under48c110.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.98439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2537…dcecbacked Over75c99.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.87850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e4…2e35backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under37c94.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c71…3414backed Under52c93.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.563342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0915853.8%85 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0915651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff53…5dd3backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.097233.3%24 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x973f…1c29backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over53c89.72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.178850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.