TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,485 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers51c1,491$760 inWon+$731.131,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6232…7078backed Raptors49c1,385$679 inLost-$678.58825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Cavaliers43c100$43 inWon+$5779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Raptors57c97.42$56 inLost-$55.5341227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors45c90.91$41 inLost-$40.912,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Cavaliers55c88.45$49 inWon+$39.84037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbc…2b18backed Raptors49c70.59$35 inLost-$34.591050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Raptors50c60.39$30 inLost-$30.26963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5bb4…7cedbacked Cavaliers51c57.09$29 inWon+$27.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e7…93aabacked Cavaliers52c40.15$21 inWon+$19.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Raptors49c39.22$19 inLost-$19.2295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed Cavaliers51c38.06$19 inWon+$18.6510144.6%45 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Raptors48c26.35$13 inLost-$12.6550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers50c20$10 inWon+$1056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b1…1f3fbacked Cavaliers55c19.46$11 inWon+$8.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.