TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe4e4…2e35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$28.65
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$106.38
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$77.65
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$78.31
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$43.07
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.28
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$21.51
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61%+$23.86
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.8
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.82
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$93.61
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$68.57
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.24
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.27
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.