TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over45c68,530$30,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,796.469649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under55c19,472$10,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,762.423858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c13,117$7,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.683,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c13,022$5,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,989.9427837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under55c9,186$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.1713553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under55c5,365$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c5,122$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.231,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.0526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under67c3,111$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.8298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over15c2,913$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.9546156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1258845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under54c2,397$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.622934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over28c2,125$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c1,814$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.031,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under55c1,600$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c1,524$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under55c1,400$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6308547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54012263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Under55c994.98$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under54c833.33$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.339854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31512661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under56c621.36$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.48563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under62c614.61$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.351,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c612.9$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.961,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27015858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c596.11$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1419560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under55c592$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.411055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under57c587.46$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.612755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c486$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5613948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under56c459.55$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.39457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over43c455.67$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.941030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18016960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18014257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under55c381$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4510655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under55c333$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.851471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under61c327.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3412751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c311$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1174126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13515060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over17c280$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under74c274.24$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.34055%22 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11711759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11712162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under55c201.09$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4910848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fac…6b48backed Under55c196.36$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under55c192.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.731963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under55c183.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5710755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under64c163.46$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under55c156$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.214660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under55c156$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.214459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under55c145.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.451163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6316955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under75c132.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under55c114.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.556553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under54c113.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.435056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under55c92.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.738257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e4…2e35backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over42c71.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010950.5%55 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.576341.3%26 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under54c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.96065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under58c62.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.084753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.313557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.553046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Under55c54.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Under55c53.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over27c48.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0616853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.254163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over48c44.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under55c31.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under55c30.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.684151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.817751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.64961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under49c27.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.139437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c26.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8815458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed Under55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under55c24.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.936958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Under57c22.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+59.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under55c22.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.115464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66c…d134backed Under55c21.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under55c20.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.049654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.