Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x294958f6a3914f0cd71a83508294fbc3bf56e0db0b017970d777cff8a06ddb61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 33c | 10,753$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 4,060$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.99 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 3,641$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.64 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 3,457$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.26 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 67c | 2,694$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 55c | 2,167$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 35c | 1,985$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 70c | 1,008$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 680.51$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.03 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 68c | 587.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 29c | 520.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 360.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 42c | 357$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 64c | 265.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 57c | 257.74$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 66c | 257.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 67c | 245.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 43c | 225$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 207.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 29c | 169.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 136$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 129.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 65c | 123.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 119.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 47c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 36c | 107.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 104$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 36c | 88.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 64c | 74.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 69c | 72.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6321…62bbbacked Over | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Under | 37c | 41.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 43c | 35.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 57c | 32.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 50c | 27.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 20.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.