Mls · resolved market
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2db20ad10f84c526ecb5e96e9edb95ae784e1c4da44be00b2d126b7dc4c1106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 62c | 1,650$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 51c | 920.76$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.14 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 15c | 783$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 690.77$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…26efbacked Over | 77c | 656.21$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 47c | 526.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 504.2$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 71c | 299.58$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 58c | 262$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 18c | 260$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 250$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 54c | 233.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 75c | 224.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 30c | 119.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 68c | 98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 88.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 57c | 79.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Under | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Over | 36c | 49.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 49.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 79c | 44.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 68c | 33.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 66c | 23.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…5bdcbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.