Mls · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3815c608cb9b75f8d9b8871025b82f2a41cbba814d46707fabca53fafd78d728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Galaxyof Seattle Sounders FC, Los Angeles Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Seattle Sounders FC | 19c | 1,182$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.23 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Seattle Sounders FC | 34c | 946.22$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.71 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 79c | 746$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.28 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Seattle Sounders FC | 25c | 592.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 558$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 376.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 68c | 335.43$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Sounders FC | 33c | 311.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 13c | 291$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 65c | 214$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Sounders FC | 34c | 201.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Sounders FC | 34c | 179.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 173$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 160.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 62c | 145.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 100.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Sounders FC | 34c | 84.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Seattle Sounders FC | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 63c | 33.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 26.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 25.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 20.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 20.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 63c | 19.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 16.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)this page
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.