TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa66c…d134

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.59
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$26.02
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$40.58
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$30.55
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+233.4%+$30.09
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$91.35
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.12
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$39.05
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+86.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+272.8%+$32.81
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+153.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+153.1%+$39.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+142%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.