MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x847f5ebfe971c8b65bf30a6fedd8130a6602b5eef57eb1504ce308986262d893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 77,770$42,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,996.35 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 66,000$36,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,039.97 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.93 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 48,025$20,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,936.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 23,158$10,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,536.36 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 23,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 19,989$10,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,594.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 15,912$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.5 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 14,517$7,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,677.97 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 11,775$5,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.17 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 10,886$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745.63 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 9,500$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 8,909$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.09 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 8,800$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.94 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 8,481$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.08 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 7,104$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.64 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 6,612$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.82 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 6,381$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.35 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 6,336$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.13 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 5,500$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.82 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 5,430$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.8 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 4,907$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 4,840$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.07 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 4,566$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.26 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,962$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.96 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 3,640$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.3 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 3,564$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.16 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…e262backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,684$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 2,491$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.35 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,335$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.55 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,295$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.91 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 2,245$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.75 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 2,202$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,198$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 2,123$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.93 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 2,044$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.33 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7fbdbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,014$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,909$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.14 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.28 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 1,488$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,443$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.62 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…2c38backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…859bbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,351$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,211$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.03 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…dcd1backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,197$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,128$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 1,025$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.04 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 980$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 969.99$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 923.32$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.33 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 891.85$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.42 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 826.09$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 813.14$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.33 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 775.81$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.44 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 773.89$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.55 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 770$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.8 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 767.8$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.83 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 741.41$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.32 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 730.62$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.09 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 710.91$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.91 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 698$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.09 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 648.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.04 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 600$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 600$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 585.1$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 560$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…dea8backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63c…034abacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 551.35$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 529$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 507.89$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 492.96$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 440$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 412.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 410$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.