MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b3cf520752340ae991f3aac8f04f53db4b14e9591e3e519c060c27d44a22e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Kansas City Royals, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $738,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $775,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,999.94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 119,656$55,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,943.77 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 45,216$22,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,607.91 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 45,000$21,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,949.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 39,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 37,403$21,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,073.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 33,848$16,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,375.73 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 24,036$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900.32 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 22,320$13,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,490.84 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 20,181$7,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,694.77 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 20,110$10,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,853.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 19,051$7,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,882.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 16,028$6,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,092.93 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 15,939$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.76 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 14,241$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740.79 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 14,066$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,751.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 11,244$7,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 10,588$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.24 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 10,535$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.93 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 8,169$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.64 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 7,415$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.59 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc517…89f5backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 7,074$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 7,064$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 6,668$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.51 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Kansas City Royals | 14c | 4,980$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.26 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 3,884$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.08 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 3,772$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…521abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 3,491$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 3,303$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.8 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 3,080$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.82 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 2,935$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.68 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 2,596$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.62 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 2,546$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.14 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 2,439$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.88 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,319$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.55 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 2,203$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.21 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,674$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.79 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2678…cef5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,644$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 1,606$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,583$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.42 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 1,549$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.23 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…c01cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,534$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2e34backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,530$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,518$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf678…b132backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,517$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…119bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,496$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…0ca8backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,442$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,420$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.44 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 1,262$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 1,255$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,234$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.17 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 1,225$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.25 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 1,218$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,200$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 1,139$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.62 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 1,134$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 1,108$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.29 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,005$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,003$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.93 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 999.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 943.4$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.31 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 904$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.49 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 780.49$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.73 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 775.11$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 741.48$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.33 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 680$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 675$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 659.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 606.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 568.7$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 563.57$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 550$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 522$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 517.59$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 503.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 499.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 499.95$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.48 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.