TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, New York Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$520,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$541,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7804…7025backed New York Mets0c197,679$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees57c66,000$37,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,379.9677053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets43c40,000$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,2004847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees56c26,695$14,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,716.710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Mets44c26,549$11,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,681.4126056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed New York Mets42c23,810$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00014943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets42c17,779$7,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,467.350153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees58c17,241$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.3898149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets39c16,754$6,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,461.312,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees64c14,991$9,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,394.221,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets43c12,222$5,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,255.4638148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets44c9,488$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,184.811,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets44c8,721$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.451,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees75c5,971$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.9611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees56c5,958$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.74,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed New York Yankees58c4,892$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.8586548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c6…d4a3backed New York Mets1c4,629$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.091729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees62c4,576$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.512,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed New York Yankees59c4,237$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.2937953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed New York Mets44c3,540$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.5215659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…5ff5backed New York Yankees58c3,281$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked New York Yankees58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2603148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed New York Yankees58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2609560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked New York Mets27c2,894$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.2657758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets42c2,834$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.632,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees57c2,257$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.75,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees57c2,198$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.943,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets42c2,191$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.854,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed New York Yankees58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8408557.6%49 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets36c1,919$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.5312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.81,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets41c1,822$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.32,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees58c1,821$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.581,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked New York Yankees57c1,716$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.8844945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ee…89a4backed New York Yankees59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.923666.7%24 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees60c1,592$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.541,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees58c1,379$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3161351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7585…ea79backed New York Mets43c1,363$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.954542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51686653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed New York Mets10c1,006$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.371,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed New York Yankees58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed New York Yankees60c977.89$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6114152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0723357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked New York Yankees53c830.19$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1926545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Mets42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33661947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed New York Yankees55c778.76$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4415749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa03f…fa16backed New York Mets6c774.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked New York Yankees59c769.49$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.4917961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed New York Yankees59c687.96$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1666050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed New York Yankees52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0812441.1%51 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked New York Mets45c668.54$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.260348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25285952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets43c589$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.271,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets42c557.33$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.081,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Mets18c532.72$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3182741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked New York Mets4c530.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207440.5%30 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed New York Yankees58c520$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.43745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2418658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees52c483.02$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0234045%153 W · 187 L+1.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3432…045dbacked New York Mets43c478$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5440%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed New York Mets42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked New York Mets5c450$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0914340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets34c444.45$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.019,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…c39fbacked New York Yankees58c435$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed New York Mets42c412.4$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked New York Yankees58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16839850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Mets41c391$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3150751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees70c387.6$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.945,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Yankees55c367.71$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0560941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets6c346$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.244,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed New York Yankees58c343.1$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.115857%90 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets42c337.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.176,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Mets7c335$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6771850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked New York Yankees58c325.18$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.746341.3%26 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed New York Yankees60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked New York Mets10c285$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.57644.7%34 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets42c279.96$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.581,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees57c260.15$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.861,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Yankees58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6247545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked New York Yankees58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.621866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked New York Mets40c256.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5430647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked New York Mets28c255.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.292,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked New York Yankees59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2420552.7%108 W · 97 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New York Mets21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.585235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets41c245$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.451,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets29c244.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.488,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed New York Mets42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87bb…42b0backed New York Yankees55c236.64$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.491758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked New York Mets43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf3…101fbacked New York Mets41c215.58$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3933241.3%137 W · 195 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0dc…0030backed New York Mets45c213.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked New York Yankees58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.98757.5%50 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed New York Yankees55c205$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2580159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New York Yankees80c200$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.871,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked New York Yankees59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8214243%61 W · 81 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked New York Mets41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed New York Yankees58c198.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.286060%36 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.