MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffba6c069bbf47b990a5209e9aa5daa84b02d2a8a797d49d94ca3fe76a5fee9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7804…7025backed New York Mets | 0c | 197,679$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 57c | 66,000$37,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,379.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,200 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 56c | 26,695$14,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,716.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Mets | 44c | 26,549$11,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,681.41 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed New York Mets | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 42c | 17,779$7,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,467.3 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.38 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets | 39c | 16,754$6,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,461.31 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 64c | 14,991$9,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.22 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets | 43c | 12,222$5,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,255.46 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 44c | 9,488$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.81 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 44c | 8,721$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.45 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 75c | 5,971$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 56c | 5,958$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Yankees | 58c | 4,892$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.85 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d4a3backed New York Mets | 1c | 4,629$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 62c | 4,576$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.51 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed New York Yankees | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.29 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed New York Mets | 44c | 3,540$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.52 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed New York Yankees | 58c | 3,281$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed New York Yankees | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked New York Mets | 27c | 2,894$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.26 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 42c | 2,834$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.63 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 57c | 2,257$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.7 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 57c | 2,198$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 42c | 2,191$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed New York Yankees | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 36c | 1,919$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 41c | 1,822$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.3 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,821$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.58 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 1,716$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.88 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,592$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed New York Mets | 43c | 1,363$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.95 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 10c | 1,006$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Yankees | 60c | 977.89$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.61 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked New York Yankees | 53c | 830.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.19 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Mets | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed New York Yankees | 55c | 778.76$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.44 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…fa16backed New York Mets | 6c | 774.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 769.49$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.49 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed New York Yankees | 59c | 687.96$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.16 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed New York Yankees | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked New York Mets | 45c | 668.54$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 43c | 589$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.27 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets | 42c | 557.33$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Mets | 18c | 532.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked New York Mets | 4c | 530.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed New York Yankees | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees | 52c | 483.02$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…045dbacked New York Mets | 43c | 478$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed New York Mets | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked New York Mets | 5c | 450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 34c | 444.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…c39fbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 435$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed New York Mets | 42c | 412.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Mets | 41c | 391$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 70c | 387.6$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 367.71$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 6c | 346$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed New York Yankees | 58c | 343.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 42c | 337.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Mets | 7c | 335$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 325.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Yankees | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked New York Mets | 10c | 285$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets | 42c | 279.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 57c | 260.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked New York Yankees | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked New York Mets | 40c | 256.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Mets | 28c | 255.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Mets | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 29c | 244.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed New York Mets | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…42b0backed New York Yankees | 55c | 236.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Mets | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked New York Mets | 41c | 215.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…0030backed New York Mets | 45c | 213.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Yankees | 55c | 205$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Yankees | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New York Mets | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed New York Yankees | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. New York Metsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.