TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ed3…c39f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.45
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.3
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.97
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.72
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.54
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$79.92
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$82.84
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$126.72
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$125.16
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.7
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$84
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.24
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.7
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.48
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$78.3
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.69
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$155.8
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$75.26
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.57
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$166.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$73.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.