TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Bucks, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,138,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,138,822 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks0c82,405$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.081,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks13c60,245$8,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,053.0647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Bucks12c55,666$6,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,679.929018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Bucks1c46,015$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.7326637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Bucks10c36,709$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.9416346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf398…a9b1backed Bucks17c29,754$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d22…1807backed Bucks12c26,990$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.85850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Bucks2c25,603$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks0c23,641$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.225213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks8c20,727$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.81,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Bucks14c18,150$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5414438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Bucks11c16,006$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.5825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks12c15,268$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.711,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Bucks11c15,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65017646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks13c14,415$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks11c13,278$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.883,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Bucks15c13,194$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Bucks15c13,100$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9653438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks10c12,230$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.011,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1179…d1dcbacked Bucks0c10,750$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Bucks0c10,028$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.424573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Bucks12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Bucks15c9,900$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.994445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c8…6eccbacked Bucks3c9,747$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.862133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bucks17c8,826$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.7116440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bucks12c8,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c6,851$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.058820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bucks14c6,666$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Bucks11c6,200$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68224045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks7c6,165$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.32,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Bucks14c6,071$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.939330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ce…3b06backed Bucks14c5,981$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.343225%8 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks6c5,813$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.371,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bucks10c5,600$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bucks14c5,570$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.82,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Bucks14c5,276$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.69851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks8c5,219$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.151,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f25…434ebacked Bucks0c4,917$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Bucks15c4,700$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70513435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks0c4,607$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bucks14c4,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bucks14c4,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Bucks8c4,308$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7542335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bucks16c4,249$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.8641038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Bucks14c4,201$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks15c4,100$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6151,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e2…6014backed Bucks15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bucks14c3,638$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.3765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks15c3,510$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.4961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…4106backed Bucks11c3,390$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.91040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Bucks1c3,153$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-64.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Bucks18c3,000$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52824151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e86…6edbbacked Bucks2c2,735$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8390%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Trail Blazers80c2,715$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.0939349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x688a…9450backed Bucks0c2,680$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Bucks5c2,646$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.236023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Bucks8c2,566$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6225226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xca5f…322abacked Bucks15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Bucks0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe140…bb06backed Bucks15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bucks15c2,300$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34538434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0d…fec9backed Bucks1c2,200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1190%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Bucks1c2,143$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked Bucks19c2,137$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.125244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Bucks12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Bucks4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017326.6%46 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucks15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Bucks10c2,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Bucks12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Bucks12c1,960$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.220537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Bucks15c1,960$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29448944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Bucks3c1,839$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4636514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98d…8fe0backed Bucks1c1,826$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.084531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Bucks19c1,711$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.095339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed Bucks20c1,671$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.165928.8%17 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Bucks12c1,602$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.466659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ea3…466bbacked Bucks11c1,408$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.92941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Trail Blazers80c1,388$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8860549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Bucks20c1,259$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7322857.5%131 W · 97 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0531…3770backed Bucks15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Bucks9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ef…19c1backed Bucks2c1,103$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Bucks19c1,093$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6318043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Bucks1c1,083$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.795162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Bucks14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Bucks19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd51…6b26backed Bucks2c1,049$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks15c1,038$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.761,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Bucks11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11071044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…73b1backed Bucks15c999.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Bucks15c933.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011256.3%63 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Bucks12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10861957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x202f…f2f7backed Bucks3c900$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.55841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bucks14c799.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Bucks15c790$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.55733.3%19 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf97…dc45backed Bucks8c777.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.584240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed Bucks19c772.84$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8414544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Bucks7c728.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011926.1%31 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Bucks20c702.1$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4218343.7%80 W · 103 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks13c700.6$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.823,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.