NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa923abaf042d1d0c4f3f32c3cdfbaedbf65790e5e9f8daa8650e071e2a782c83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,189 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,749.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 13,843$7,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,198.29 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 10,923$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.91 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 49c | 5,175$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.25 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 51c | 4,674$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.73 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 2,780$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 2,624$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.19 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 51c | 2,435$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 71c | 2,316$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.2 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 2,310$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…495cbacked Under | 52c | 2,175$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 51c | 2,077$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 51c | 1,835$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.83 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 1,803$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.61 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,775$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 30c | 1,578$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 1,524$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 51c | 1,296$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 50c | 1,294$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Under | 16c | 1,288$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 1,262$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.62 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,030$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 33c | 859.61$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.36 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 27c | 789.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.35 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 51c | 784$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 715.83$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 674.71$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.08 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 12c | 604$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 66c | 444$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 40c | 418.27$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.97 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 36c | 411.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 375.31$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 49c | 371.29$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 49c | 324.75$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 310.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 49c | 306.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 306.32$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 264.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 256.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 241.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 223.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 221.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 50c | 208.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 48c | 176$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 50c | 170.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 144.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Over | 71c | 141.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 49c | 133.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 68c | 132.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 125.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 49c | 119.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Over | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 33c | 106.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 70c | 101.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 48c | 85.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 25c | 77.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 69c | 77.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Over | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 51c | 72.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 51c | 70.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Under | 50c | 64.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Over | 78c | 63.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…74e3backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 48c | 47.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929f…9884backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 41c | 41.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…3d37backed Over | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 72c | 40.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…9aa2backed Under | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 48c | 38.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb151…8129backed Under | 53c | 37.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 34.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 50c | 33.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…7c69backed Over | 48c | 31.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 65c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8a76backed Over | 50c | 29.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Over | 48c | 29.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.