TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,189 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c25,000$12,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,749.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c13,843$7,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,198.291,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c10,923$5,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.911,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,142$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over49c5,175$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.2511241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under51c4,674$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.7317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c2,780$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under51c2,624$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.1918749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under51c2,435$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over71c2,316$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c2,310$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.772,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bb…495cbacked Under52c2,175$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.281741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under51c2,077$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05924450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under51c1,835$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.8327241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c1,803$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.611,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,775$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.554,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.152,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under30c1,578$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.742,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c1,524$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77738946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under51c1,296$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66014455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under50c1,294$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64719359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Under16c1,288$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005034%17 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under51c1,262$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.6237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c1,030$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4591,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under33c859.61$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.361,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under27c789.91$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.352,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over51c784$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1626638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c715.83$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.852,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over61c674.71$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.083,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under12c604$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.552,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Over66c444$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.965651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under40c418.27$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.971,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under36c411.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c375.31$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.95,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over49c371.29$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3613253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over49c324.75$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c310.17$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.091,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over49c306.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2441449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c306.32$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c264.65$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3355347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c256.15$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c241.6$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.441,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c223.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c221.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.864,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over50c208.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2633251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under50c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over56c178$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.811,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over48c176$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5211543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over50c170.71$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c144.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over71c141.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0911753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over49c133.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over68c132.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.986861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c125.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.855,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over49c119.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Over49c106.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.126648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under33c106.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.861,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over70c101.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.461,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5342348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over47c94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8223651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over48c85.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2557250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.635942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under25c77.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over69c77.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over49c75.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.516250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over51c72.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4338853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c70.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.741,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Under50c64.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3512146.3%56 W · 65 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf558…b2cbbacked Over78c63.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.926854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52cc…74e3backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over48c47.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x929f…9884backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under41c41.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.793,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Over69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over72c40.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4565542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2040548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0336…9aa2backed Under51c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.395046%23 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over48c38.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9735551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb151…8129backed Under53c37.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c34.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.791,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over50c33.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0522454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8414858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…7c69backed Over48c31.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.316551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over65c29.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3718261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x090a…8a76backed Over50c29.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.645757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb9…1641backed Over48c29.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.132050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.