TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,214 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Under34c9,169$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over52c9,016$4,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,328.7574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over66c5,633$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74eb…e23ebacked Under49c3,032$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe723…3d61backed Under49c3,016$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…39b8backed Under49c3,011$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9425…649ebacked Under49c2,993$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf4…6461backed Over51c2,927$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c40…557dbacked Over51c2,870$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0cd…1573backed Over51c2,846$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe65c…5132backed Over51c2,832$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…7e14backed Under49c2,832$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2d…349ebacked Over51c2,817$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5abc…ab8ebacked Under49c2,809$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…fd50backed Over51c2,776$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d8…682cbacked Under49c2,724$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb9…9015backed Under49c2,710$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…260bbacked Under49c2,703$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb659…a956backed Under49c2,644$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33c…3bd9backed Over51c2,578$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…ae5cbacked Under49c2,536$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabdb…db2abacked Over51c2,533$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2501…d752backed Under49c2,533$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Under51c2,471$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.2110448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2a7…9827backed Under49c2,434$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19cd…a44fbacked Over51c2,433$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0669…4fc9backed Under49c2,424$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac6f…ba9ebacked Under49c2,414$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x543c…e7a2backed Over51c2,409$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd380…86cbbacked Over51c2,392$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b8…c674backed Under49c2,385$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe7…c968backed Over51c2,358$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b8…7a73backed Over51c2,317$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac82…1047backed Under49c2,307$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee94…b980backed Over51c2,286$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbd…874cbacked Under49c2,272$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd9…d93dbacked Under49c2,248$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8c…545cbacked Over51c2,248$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36c6…176cbacked Under49c2,240$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef4…b629backed Over51c2,232$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd6…eaebbacked Over51c2,227$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd008…144ebacked Over51c2,221$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1b…31dabacked Over51c2,220$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd129…45abbacked Under49c2,212$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a5…f856backed Under49c2,195$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ff…bda8backed Over51c2,188$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7faa…5fdebacked Over51c2,182$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…8a85backed Over51c2,181$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde0…0541backed Under49c2,160$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5c…90f6backed Under49c2,120$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under48c2,080$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.3328554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc11…4acfbacked Under49c2,067$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b17…0f80backed Under49c2,061$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53c…ac35backed Over51c2,060$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0338…820fbacked Over51c2,052$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e5…64e4backed Under49c2,047$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7455…8197backed Over51c2,037$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf25…b5babacked Over51c2,033$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727a…4afcbacked Over51c2,026$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.74450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f73…d3d6backed Over51c2,025$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe288…dd34backed Over51c2,021$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dfe…4479backed Under49c2,014$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…d3c9backed Over51c1,995$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f0…3e84backed Under49c1,992$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9492…7c9dbacked Under49c1,988$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ee…b997backed Under49c1,984$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a0…8c43backed Under49c1,961$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c6…9479backed Over51c1,952$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf30…c976backed Over51c1,952$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under48c1,946$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9346237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a21…1da0backed Over51c1,919$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae27…7cf7backed Under49c1,912$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe109…159dbacked Under49c1,881$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d38…2f7bbacked Over51c1,874$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ba…1a00backed Under49c1,868$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde3…fcbabacked Under49c1,861$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de7…c43dbacked Over51c1,858$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba6…7e8abacked Over51c1,847$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a7…3feebacked Over51c1,823$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under31c1,817$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.491,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x104b…d04abacked Over51c1,809$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4550…7763backed Over51c1,786$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7882…f9eabacked Under49c1,782$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0c…dfefbacked Over51c1,782$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6612…09febacked Over51c1,731$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4930…d2efbacked Under49c1,726$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf805…6c0ebacked Under49c1,724$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…464fbacked Over51c1,723$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91b…2e1fbacked Under49c1,723$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f51…9ab8backed Under49c1,714$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013c…6aacbacked Under49c1,708$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e2…9e15backed Under49c1,706$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…47c0backed Over51c1,705$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3972…5adabacked Over51c1,694$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe088…97c5backed Over51c1,686$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeef…5f48backed Under49c1,677$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf252…68bcbacked Under49c1,665$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477d…5f36backed Under49c1,659$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66a…5c87backed Over51c1,652$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.