NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb0cff8cc8b1edf0f8e868b100994a5148bbd99b35d9af8e964d26c9e106ac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,997 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 374,085$198,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,790.37 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 47c | 154,766$72,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,740.07 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 47c | 110,380$51,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,328.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks | 46c | 71,743$33,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,309.49 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 59,994$31,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,797.26 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 48c | 34,407$16,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,431.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Bucks | 47c | 20,600$9,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,656.74 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Bucks | 48c | 20,000$9,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,529.94 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…dcc2backed Bucks | 49c | 11,150$5,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,463.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 10,607$5,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Bucks | 48c | 10,315$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bucks | 48c | 8,389$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.41 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks | 49c | 8,326$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.74 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.84 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,727$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.84 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Bucks | 48c | 4,063$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.29 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,641$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.67 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Bucks | 48c | 3,499$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.76 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks | 47c | 3,439$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Bucks | 48c | 3,306$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Bucks | 47c | 3,250$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,981$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.26 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 2,269$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.12 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,145$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.58 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.14 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 47c | 1,718$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.46 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bucks | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.48 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 48c | 1,120$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.32 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…c2f6backed Bucks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Bucks | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 989.7$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.06 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 942.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.14 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 936.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.41 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Bucks | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Bucks | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Bucks | 48c | 680.64$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.71 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 592.65$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.15 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 582$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Bucks | 47c | 530.49$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.23 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 476.35$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Bucks | 48c | 407.35$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 384.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.7 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 372.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Bucks | 46c | 338$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 334.53$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Bucks | 47c | 320.17$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Bucks | 47c | 319.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 286.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 282.12$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 272.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 269.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.57 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 266.87$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 266$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 251$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…f7dabacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Bucks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…768abacked Bucks | 48c | 209.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 209.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Bucks | 47c | 206.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Bucks | 46c | 204.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 201.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bucks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…cafdbacked Bucks | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 197.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 187.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Bucks | 47c | 185.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 47c | 179.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Bucks | 48c | 172.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Bucks | 47c | 168.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bucks | 43c | 162.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 151.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Bucks | 48c | 148.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Bucks | 44c | 146.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 146.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed Bucks | 48c | 145.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 138$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Bucks | 48c | 130.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Bucks | 48c | 120.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks | 47c | 110.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 109.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Bucks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 104.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Bucks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 102.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 98.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 98.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Bucks | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 96.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…3ca9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.