NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf271ebdae8755f83b74c98fa63c5a19948ca7997edf5221e9ab90f9b0023dac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,177 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c5a…ff9fbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.73 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 26c | 3,349$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bucks | 44c | 2,073$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.22 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,496$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bucks | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Bucks | 44c | 624.89$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 540$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Bucks | 46c | 508.7$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 44c | 459.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bucks | 44c | 435.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Bucks | 44c | 431.07$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.67 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks | 44c | 406.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Bucks | 40c | 348.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Bucks | 30c | 332.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 318.38$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.19 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Bucks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Bucks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Bucks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 213$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 206$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Bucks | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 188.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Bucks | 44c | 174.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 150.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Bucks | 46c | 125.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Bucks | 46c | 125.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 116.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Bucks | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Bucks | 30c | 110.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Bucks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 33c | 93.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Bucks | 39c | 92.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Bucks | 43c | 89.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks | 45c | 83.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Bucks | 43c | 79.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Bucks | 44c | 70.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Bucks | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Bucks | 45c | 52.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…4a7cbacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 46.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa478…2779backed Bucks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ccfbbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 41.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Bucks | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Bucks | 42c | 36.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 35.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Bucks | 44c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Bucks | 45c | 30.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Bucks | 42c | 28.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Bucks | 42c | 27.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 43c | 26.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 18.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.