NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54d7acdd43668da9014426a44b4204bca3f10af553970968176d19f362673859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,947 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Bucks | 49c | 23,524$11,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,425.45 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bucks | 45c | 12,859$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.08 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 12,822$6,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.83 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 7,282$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.99 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,670$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.4 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Bucks | 43c | 4,435$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.88 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 3,682$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.26 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 3,490$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,269$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.23 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 2,346$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,744$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 52c | 1,443$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.36 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 49c | 1,323$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,244$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.48 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 971.2$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.54 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 817$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.61 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Bucks | 15c | 745.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 50c | 686.25$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.29 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Bucks | 52c | 610$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 580.25$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Bucks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 540.64$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Bucks | 44c | 526.81$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Bucks | 47c | 498.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.51 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 489.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Bucks | 49c | 460.68$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 458.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.05 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bucks | 51c | 439$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.89 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 50c | 389.45$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 327.4$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 312.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Bucks | 52c | 298$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Bucks | 43c | 291.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Bucks | 52c | 279.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Bucks | 52c | 271$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Bucks | 52c | 246.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 229.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 200.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Bucks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Bucks | 52c | 198$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 180.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 180.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 178.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 46c | 173.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 162.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 151.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Bucks | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Bucks | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Bucks | 51c | 124.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Bucks | 51c | 124.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Bucks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Bucks | 49c | 109.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Bucks | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 95.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks | 40c | 94.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 39c | 93.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Bucks | 43c | 93.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 91.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Bucks | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 79.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 78.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Bucks | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 67.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 60.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Bucks | 51c | 58.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 55.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 52.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Bucks | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Bucks | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Bucks | 51c | 49.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 43.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…5050backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 42.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Bucks | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Bucks | 49c | 40.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Bucks | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Bucks | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 39.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 39.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 38.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 50c | 36.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 33.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…1d19backed Bucks | 52c | 33.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 32.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 32.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks | 50c | 32.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Bucks | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…d1d5backed Bucks | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 30.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.