TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52c6…564d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.8
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.41
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$116.45
Spread: Nuggets (-19.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.65
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.15
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$104.67
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+98%+$98.04
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.64
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.73
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$61.59
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.17
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$33
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.19
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46.3
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+149.3%+$229.86
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.17
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$9.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.