NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d81c4ca42f607010735620386682b81561a3406cf53cd158660a40ac4bec0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Nuggets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $931,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $936,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 506,565$263,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263,229.76 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Jazz | 48c | 411,111$197,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,777.72 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Jazz | 50c | 285,857$142,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,940.68 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nuggets | 50c | 84,446$42,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,196.43 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Nuggets | 50c | 75,047$37,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,523.56 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Jazz | 50c | 62,555$31,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,402.84 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 50c | 37,638$18,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,819 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 24,102$12,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,050.77 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 49c | 12,140$5,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,209.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.93 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 49c | 8,391$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.88 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz | 48c | 5,946$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.52 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 48c | 5,648$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Nuggets | 51c | 5,550$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.7 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz | 50c | 5,481$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.13 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,454$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,202$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.01 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…20dabacked Nuggets | 51c | 3,683$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…495cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,640$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,972$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.75 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 48c | 1,882$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.46 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jazz | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,469$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.17 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,204$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.16 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Jazz | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.76 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Jazz | 47c | 1,131$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.67 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,117$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.11 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,096$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.12 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,062$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.92 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,035$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.84 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 50c | 1,015$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Nuggets | 51c | 966$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.66 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Nuggets | 51c | 956$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.24 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Jazz | 48c | 923.85$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.22 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Nuggets | 51c | 890.87$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.34 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Nuggets | 51c | 827.35$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.7 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz | 48c | 770.7$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.77 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Jazz | 48c | 724.07$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.37 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Nuggets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 578.38$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.09 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Nuggets | 49c | 508.6$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Jazz | 48c | 485.43$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.42 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Nuggets | 50c | 463.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.66 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 430$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 50c | 425.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Nuggets | 51c | 413.66$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 49c | 383.3$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.72 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Nuggets | 52c | 365.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuggets | 51c | 363.43$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…83b5backed Jazz | 49c | 339.23$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.11 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Nuggets | 52c | 286.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f2…2c56backed Jazz | 51c | 275.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.83 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Nuggets | 52c | 249.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Jazz | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Nuggets | 50c | 211.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Jazz | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Jazz | 49c | 205.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Jazz | 50c | 202.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Nuggets | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Jazz | 46c | 197.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…3e27backed Nuggets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 195.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 192.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Jazz | 52c | 192.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Nuggets | 50c | 192.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…3beebacked Nuggets | 52c | 192.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Nuggets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Jazz | 48c | 179.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 177.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Jazz | 48c | 176.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 175$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 173.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed Nuggets | 52c | 169.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Nuggets | 44c | 158.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Nuggets | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Jazz | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Jazz | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Nuggets | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Jazz | 50c | 134.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Nuggets | 52c | 132.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Nuggets | 53c | 127.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Nuggets | 51c | 124.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Nuggets | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Jazz | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 120.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 51c | 118.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…5883backed Jazz | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…4237backed Nuggets | 51c | 116.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Nuggets | 48c | 115.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Nuggets | 50c | 112.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…50bcbacked Jazz | 50c | 109.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Jazz | 49c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-19.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Jazz won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 249.5Over won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-17.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.