NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeefd6e73844ff1ef425ff8c1c012a209d49f337d326f3d538e71da92b2759a4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Nuggets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,187,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,194,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,187,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Jazz | 47c | 315,931$148,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,515.92 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 52c | 107,888$56,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,269.53 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce75…c5f6backed Nuggets | 50c | 102,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…c7b9backed Nuggets | 50c | 97,741$48,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,870.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 53c | 95,845$50,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,797.62 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…eeb9backed Nuggets | 50c | 87,372$43,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,686 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 53c | 71,741$37,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,822.75 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…5076backed Nuggets | 50c | 68,027$34,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,013.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ad…0f2cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 62,783$31,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,391.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…e415backed Jazz | 50c | 57,836$28,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,918 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed86…7240backed Jazz | 50c | 57,789$28,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,894.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 49,448$26,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,185.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…3c6cbacked Jazz | 50c | 47,314$23,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,657 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…00debacked Jazz | 50c | 33,137$16,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,568.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…d1d6backed Jazz | 50c | 30,144$15,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,072 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a3…5213backed Jazz | 50c | 28,890$14,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,445 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…1c09backed Jazz | 50c | 28,271$14,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,135.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb53…6438backed Jazz | 50c | 25,181$12,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,590.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…4ed7backed Nuggets | 50c | 18,058$9,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,029 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…5192backed Nuggets | 50c | 17,950$8,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,975 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…97d3backed Jazz | 50c | 17,901$8,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,950.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…d05abacked Nuggets | 50c | 17,529$8,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,764.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…5ee9backed Nuggets | 50c | 17,340$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,670 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…c158backed Nuggets | 50c | 17,219$8,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,609.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa121…2dfabacked Nuggets | 50c | 16,683$8,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,341.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8aeebacked Nuggets | 50c | 16,452$8,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,226 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…9fbbbacked Nuggets | 50c | 15,874$7,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,937 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…1558backed Nuggets | 50c | 14,853$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,426.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…ece7backed Nuggets | 50c | 14,849$7,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,424.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…fe1bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 14,783$7,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,391.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…e960backed Nuggets | 50c | 14,731$7,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,365.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…a3eebacked Nuggets | 50c | 10,807$5,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,403.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…0824backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,697$5,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…d140backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,498$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb09d…a5e7backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,150$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…ef6bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 9,930$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…1fa3backed Nuggets | 50c | 9,578$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…f69ebacked Jazz | 50c | 9,560$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…adb0backed Jazz | 50c | 9,356$4,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,678 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…125dbacked Jazz | 50c | 9,326$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…ff57backed Jazz | 50c | 9,277$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…99bebacked Jazz | 50c | 9,107$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc885…a5d5backed Jazz | 50c | 9,101$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…5b76backed Jazz | 50c | 9,054$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,527 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61c…c177backed Jazz | 50c | 9,028$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…c48dbacked Jazz | 50c | 8,940$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…1455backed Jazz | 50c | 8,884$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1055backed Jazz | 50c | 8,864$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4a64backed Jazz | 50c | 8,843$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d18…99f1backed Jazz | 50c | 8,772$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…ef67backed Jazz | 50c | 8,634$4,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…bababacked Jazz | 50c | 8,566$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…8f69backed Jazz | 50c | 8,561$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…bf96backed Jazz | 50c | 8,462$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…cf46backed Jazz | 50c | 8,447$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0105…85e0backed Jazz | 50c | 8,426$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…1721backed Jazz | 50c | 8,374$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…2920backed Jazz | 50c | 8,338$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…6a5fbacked Jazz | 50c | 8,266$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…a603backed Jazz | 50c | 8,204$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…12b5backed Jazz | 50c | 8,156$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…0255backed Jazz | 50c | 8,149$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0f…0c6dbacked Jazz | 50c | 8,147$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0d…f5aabacked Jazz | 50c | 8,050$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2004…3139backed Jazz | 50c | 8,005$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…f537backed Jazz | 50c | 7,998$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…d418backed Jazz | 50c | 7,919$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe002…3a44backed Jazz | 50c | 7,917$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…6bdabacked Jazz | 50c | 7,889$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…b429backed Jazz | 50c | 7,863$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 41cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf4ebacked Jazz | 50c | 7,789$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c4…345dbacked Jazz | 50c | 7,728$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…47e9backed Jazz | 50c | 7,681$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…cbd4backed Jazz | 50c | 7,669$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3c…6081backed Jazz | 50c | 7,545$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…ed0bbacked Jazz | 50c | 7,245$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…b3c1backed Jazz | 50c | 7,087$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Jazz | 75c | 6,741$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.62 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 55c | 6,356$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.43 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Nuggets | 54c | 6,030$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.2 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Jazz | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Jazz | 50c | 5,588$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.8 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…2dc7backed Jazz | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,968$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Jazz | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,970$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.23 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Jazz | 50c | 3,900$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…64f1backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,708$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…daa9backed Jazz | 50c | 3,588$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,089$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.12 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,000$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.72 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,995$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.5 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Jazz | 50c | 2,986$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…20dabacked Jazz | 51c | 2,657$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,563$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.53 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 2,543$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.39 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Nuggets | 13c | 2,393$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Jazz | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.3 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Jazz won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 249.5Over won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-17.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Nuggets (-19.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.