TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,315 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c2,313$1,203 inLost-$1,202.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Over48c2,048$983 inWon+$1,065.1512240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c1,439$748 inLost-$748.364,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon+$541.673661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over48c625$300 inWon+$32527746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c240.21$125 inLost-$124.911,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under52c225.64$117 inLost-$117.3355347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Over48c208.54$100 inWon+$108.545538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under52c127.87$66 inLost-$66.4960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over45c126.32$57 inWon+$69.4776247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a36…428fbacked Over48c104.15$50 inWon+$54.165836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c83$40 inWon+$43.1662049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Over48c62.48$30 inWon+$32.4912146.3%56 W · 65 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over48c62$30 inWon+$32.2432747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over48c62$30 inWon+$32.2427345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over48c62$30 inWon+$32.2432947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost-$256150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Under54c36.86$20 inLost-$204161%25 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9722…3e81backed Under54c33.43$18 inLost-$183756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac3…c2b6backed Over46c32.57$15 inWon+$17.592425%6 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under54c32$17 inLost-$17.2836153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74be…8aa3backed Over48c31$15 inWon+$16.123545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca22…71a0backed Under55c27.27$15 inLost-$157153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under55c21.9$12 inLost-$12.0519357.5%111 W · 82 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over54c20$11 inWon+$9.314471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under53c20$11 inLost-$10.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.