TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a36…428f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Earnings, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT7145.1%32 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Farman Hasanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.67
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luana Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.08
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.77
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.67
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Timmy Cuamba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Daniel Barez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.36
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+149.6%+$104.44
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.46
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$30.97
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Clayton Carpenter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$125.08
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ben Johnston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jonathan Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.88
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Joselyne Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.42
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT5836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Hornets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Suns vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.93
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.09
76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Jazz vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.16
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Pelicans vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.96
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.05
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.63
Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Heat: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+144.9%+$149.29
Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$226.87
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+203%+$60.88
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+106.7%+$85.39
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$270.4
Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+73.9%+$83.15
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$193.15
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+165.3%+$247.99
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30.96
Will Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.2%+$71.38
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$227.36
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+101.9%+$81.52
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+59.5%+$17.25
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+39.1%+$34.83
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+2,030.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+2,030.2%+$263.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+82.1%+$36.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.