Earnings · resolved market
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0cdea6ec66d0bee106cceb754a305f6ca7cfe7cd6ea380e6c778a20c688438c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e3e…5443backed Yes | 59c | 7,953$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 37c | 6,377$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.01 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…3c54backed Yes | 78c | 5,724$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 79c | 5,543$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.95 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed No | 1c | 5,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 22c | 2,272$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.19 | 342 | 37.1%127 W · 215 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 38c | 2,013$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.84 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 29c | 1,500$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…5ac8backed No | 24c | 1,090$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 61c | 901.12$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 19c | 879.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…428fbacked No | 24c | 800.47$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 799.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…8bc6backed Yes | 30c | 714.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.17 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…8e6abacked Yes | 25c | 560.64$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 22c | 526.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 62c | 523.56$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.22 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked No | 34c | 469.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…ec5abacked Yes | 33c | 464.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7e…0bf8backed No | 22c | 458.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…47b1backed No | 73c | 413.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 362.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.29 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 23c | 350$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 21c | 338.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed No | 21c | 336.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 30c | 329.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 311$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed Yes | 28c | 308$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.62 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed No | 24c | 288$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…1f9abacked No | 23c | 265.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…fcdabacked Yes | 20c | 258.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +406.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…a8d4backed Yes | 26c | 236$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x403b…d5e1backed No | 23c | 235.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed No | 15c | 226.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…3bcabacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…77c3backed Yes | 50c | 199.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Yes | 26c | 195.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…7601backed No | 28c | 179.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 43c | 179.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked No | 75c | 172.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 152.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…754bbacked No | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 77c | 141.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 20c | 127.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…2cffbacked No | 18c | 125.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…3170backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed No | 35c | 122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…30bfbacked Yes | 67c | 117.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…a852backed No | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c2a3backed Yes | 80c | 117.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 56c | 114.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 56c | 102.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…435bbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…1b4fbacked Yes | 21c | 96.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…f53abacked No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…97d3backed Yes | 62c | 91.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…ed9fbacked Yes | 39c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 20c | 86.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 51c | 84.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked No | 21c | 81.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…b9c5backed No | 28c | 81.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…b232backed No | 19c | 80.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 36c | 78.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316d…ef66backed Yes | 67c | 78.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…0bbabacked Yes | 27c | 73.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…9aaebacked Yes | 69c | 72.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 71.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…a251backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…c26abacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 68.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed No | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 64.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 19c | 64.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed No | 62c | 63.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 50c | 62.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked No | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…11dbbacked No | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…88fdbacked Yes | 37c | 60.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…52eabacked Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…f669backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed No | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed No | 18c | 56.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked No | 66c | 55.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 60c | 53.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 75c | 52.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…3a8abacked Yes | 37c | 52.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 72c | 51.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Yes | 62c | 51.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.