TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7280…65d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
429
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT22023.6%52 W · 168 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 220 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$25.8
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$31.49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.9%+$36.75
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+168.1%+$22.57
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$39.41
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.63
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Showing 25 of 220 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.58
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.65
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+248.1%+$242.31
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$86.18
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.15
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.11
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.02
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.35
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.87
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.74
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.81
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.17
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.96
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.43
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.97
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.6%+$41.39
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.56
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$84.69
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+74.8%+$71.05
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Valentin Royerbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Antalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
BNP Paribas Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Alexandra Ealabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
BNP Paribas Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.58
BNP Paribas Open: Nuno Borges vs Emilio Navabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.07
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$22.29
BNP Paribas Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
BNP Paribas Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.12
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$79.98
Thionville: Roman Safiullin vs Timofey Skatovbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.36
ATX Open: Rebeka Masarova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.94
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$47.86
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$50.69
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$31.18
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Mexican Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Flavio Cobollibacked Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Mexican Open: Terence Atmane vs Rafael Jodarbacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+212.5%+$27.43
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.07
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchovabacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Victoria Mbokobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.59
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+240.4%+$73.11
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.63
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.81
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.9%+$6.06
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+48.3%+$54.24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$174.67
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.26
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+181.2%+$188.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.24
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+335%+$167.47
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+334.8%+$39.67
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+203%+$41.83
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+206.5%+$67.15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$57.89
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.54
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$184.65
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$335.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.54
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.5%+$11.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.37
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.87
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$117.04
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+219.5%+$29.83
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.11
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$29.75
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.11
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.18
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.59
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+104.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+82.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$46.22
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.29
Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.52
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+160.5%+$43.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$24.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69%+$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Barcelonabacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.