South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4447f03c0f902e737c7b34984369ed2e8e40f46a90cfe9e15e3dbc2198d4601b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,810 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 3,137$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 45c | 1,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.73 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 54c | 690.74$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 56c | 673.17$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.59 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 9c | 546.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 321.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 43c | 309.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 188.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 78c | 102.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 74.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 61.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 45c | 56.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 50.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 47c | 36.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Under | 56c | 36.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 44c | 35.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 57c | 35.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…5f43backed Under | 47c | 33.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Over | 55c | 33.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb8…8b8cbacked Over | 54c | 31.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 45c | 26.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 24.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 63c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 79c | 13.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.