South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa1668b48286d7d2f908a050b8e085406e07a298d45b7d33e49ed35061ddfe51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,918 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 5,956$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 37c | 2,122$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.38 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over | 71c | 1,404$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 27c | 1,129$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 79c | 1,063$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Over | 80c | 761.45$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 38c | 665.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 540.81$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 42c | 480.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 42c | 426$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 21c | 401$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.79 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…18f9backed Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 79c | 292.96$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.43 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 274.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 48c | 251.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 49c | 230.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 61c | 213.69$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 36c | 131.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 48c | 109.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 107.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 20c | 75.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Under | 41c | 67.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6f…05ccbacked Under | 21c | 67.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 48c | 52.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 41c | 49.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 69c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 27c | 45.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 31c | 36.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 69c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 37c | 27.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 39c | 25.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 69c | 23.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…af6ebacked Over | 80c | 19.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 73c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.