TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$671,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $671,054 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers49c109,000$53,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,07060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers52c89,056$46,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,937.4848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Pacers49c54,977$26,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,938.6122453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Pacers50c51,335$25,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,667.649053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers48c50,132$23,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,182.4336549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pacers48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.9823147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers52c44,980$23,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,389.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Pacers53c39,924$21,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,159.95534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers52c39,920$20,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,161.591,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers50c31,438$15,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,786.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Pacers48c29,361$14,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,093.429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers52c27,893$14,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,563.591,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Pacers48c20,491$9,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,86320948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers49c19,602$9,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,604.9830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers52c19,000$9,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,88045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers51c18,372$9,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,337.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers50c14,897$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,397.431,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers52c12,608$6,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,560.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers53c12,000$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,359.991,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pacers52c11,000$5,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,77029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers50c10,015$5,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.651,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Pacers48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.992445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers49c6,111$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers51c5,923$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.824,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers50c5,367$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.91,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Pacers50c5,254$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.099655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pacers55c4,509$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50242348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…b675backed Clippers48c4,209$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.36825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Pacers10c4,197$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.8320837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Pacers53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1209343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Pacers52c3,800$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9768348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pacers54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pacers53c3,500$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.1448054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers51c3,309$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.821,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers47c2,332$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.9170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Pacers48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers50c2,000$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.9380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Pacers54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Clippers47c1,787$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.2320945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers42c1,715$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.784,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Pacers53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8481,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers50c1,042$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Clippers49c1,014$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.1950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Pacers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pacers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers53c943.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Clippers48c882$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.6454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pacers51c879.97$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Clippers53c868.82$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0518446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pacers53c856$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.681,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Pacers48c840$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.230452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Clippers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Clippers46c738.07$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5657950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers49c712$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Clippers50c636.82$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7226638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pacers53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Clippers47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.916741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers38c505.37$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.563,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Clippers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24021139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Clippers52c484.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Clippers52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0314053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Pacers54c477.78$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2588953.9%48 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Clippers52c445.28$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8343544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Clippers53c437.42$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8376250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Clippers49c435.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4126756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Clippers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5322447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Pacers48c422.92$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20332450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Pacers50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106439.1%25 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers50c400.04$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.933,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Clippers52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19261747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Pacers25c399.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9628929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers51c397.36$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.153,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Clippers52c355.77$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7726640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…b385backed Pacers54c354.14$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1d…b343backed Pacers54c352.94$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6289…0031backed Clippers47c350.27$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1c…c718backed Clippers47c340.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Pacers49c340$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.628751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers51c338.11$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.293,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Pacers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers49c299.19$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.591,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pacers48c292.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Pacers54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Pacers54c275.04$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14812151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Pacers48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Pacers52c249.59$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2222746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers53c244.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pacers50c235.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pacers48c225.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bae…f1a0backed Pacers54c203.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Clippers61c198.13$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers38c196.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.582,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Clippers52c194.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9322148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Pacers58c194.48$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11224856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers50c175.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.452,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Clippers51c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.553638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers36c162.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Pacers51c161.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.