NBA · resolved market
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f856a799df85192454c7572141723b69c813a17b8b0c1acf39b341c6bf6a15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,027 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 30c | 2,471$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 72c | 2,209$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.58 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 72c | 864.29$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…cbccbacked Yes | 35c | 788.17$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 64c | 651.54$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 603.6$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…3792backed Yes | 28c | 469.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…8357backed Yes | 27c | 376.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 71c | 350.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…f320backed Yes | 28c | 325$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…66edbacked Yes | 27c | 270.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…1b58backed Yes | 28c | 253.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…2ed1backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 73c | 151.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 74c | 139.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 66c | 135.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 131.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 66c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…d1c8backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed No | 68c | 57.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Yes | 36c | 56.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…72eebacked Yes | 47c | 40.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ba18backed Yes | 35c | 34.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 76c | 29.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 65c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 71c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.