NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccad8bb8c695cd5e23ec4e9e06ebb7f709a5d0a51d83fed4ac641d45e1cc18e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,730 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Under | 47c | 10,633$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.38 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 64c | 6,140$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 5,026$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 24c | 4,742$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.69 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 31c | 3,222$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.74 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 42c | 1,163$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under | 56c | 893.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 53c | 586.36$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.59 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Under | 64c | 471.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Under | 62c | 433.08$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 49c | 216.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 48c | 197.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 60c | 170.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 120.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 108.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Under | 54c | 103.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 39c | 96.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 55c | 94.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 58c | 91.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 66c | 91.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 64.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 54c | 50.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 40.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 47c | 40.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 46c | 37.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 52c | 30.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…988abacked Under | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…d2e5backed Under | 71c | 27.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Under | 75c | 24.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -11.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Under | 78c | 17.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.