TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Pacers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,883,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,883,379 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pacers15c348,380$53,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,944.5443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pacers16c100,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.9811955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5bc…2c49backed Pacers0c95,017$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers14c74,543$10,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,582.3127424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers14c68,143$9,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,609.3947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers15c64,252$9,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,637.817050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Pacers14c63,945$8,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,952.2422453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Pacers17c60,100$9,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,996.029043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pacers15c33,830$4,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,980.748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Pacers4c33,687$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.8216919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Pacers5c33,333$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.5410235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pacers1c31,700$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.363179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Pacers17c29,412$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pacers4c25,233$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.851,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers6c25,021$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.881,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pacers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Pacers2c20,100$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.16126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers16c20,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Pacers15c19,999$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9247043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers15c18,842$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Pacers15c18,260$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.6619957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers16c16,249$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.881,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers2c11,404$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.035213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers5c11,310$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.14,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Pacers16c10,300$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6488441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Pacers17c10,300$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75124045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pacers1c10,158$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.391,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Pacers15c9,753$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.9812042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers14c9,662$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.6261336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers1c9,118$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.181,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Pacers13c9,016$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.568834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers5c8,899$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.392,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers6c8,244$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.061,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac3…5a50backed Pacers15c8,154$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.36911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-69.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers17c8,119$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.231,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Pacers16c8,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2806943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pacers15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4387…f89ebacked Pacers5c7,000$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3472334.8%8 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers1c6,755$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.88820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Pacers1c6,369$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.998429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Pacers14c6,329$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.8140035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Pacers2c6,306$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.584723.4%11 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Pacers16c6,300$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00810035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe25…ce67backed Pacers1c6,203$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pacers17c5,555$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.3541832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Pacers15c5,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Pacers2c5,310$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5426637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Pacers5c5,071$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1518931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Pacers1c4,702$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9328616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pacers15c4,104$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.511,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers5c3,889$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68d…945dbacked Pacers14c3,837$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Pacers8c3,605$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3912329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers15c3,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Pacers15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d65…e347backed Pacers14c3,053$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.411833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4de…3bf7backed Pacers9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Pacers8c2,754$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0733428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed Pacers17c2,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40041550.1%208 W · 207 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c8…9349backed Pacers17c2,341$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.92825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers2c2,205$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Pacers17c2,200$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37411949.6%59 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers11c2,169$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.665,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d60…9cf6backed Pacers14c2,120$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers15c2,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers15c2,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Pacers15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Pacers15c1,980$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9955346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Pacers1c1,848$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941690%0 W · 169 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers9c1,817$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers16c1,800$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Pacers8c1,782$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3212454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ae…a7b9backed Pacers9c1,762$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.62025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Pacers17c1,690$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.359430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Pacers14c1,690$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x621c…7721backed Pacers2c1,687$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb77f…5404backed Pacers14c1,685$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers10c1,679$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.553,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Pacers6c1,669$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Pacers1c1,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Pacers3c1,585$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.712748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Pacers10c1,573$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3610235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce5e…8d20backed Pacers15c1,540$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.973438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers14c1,526$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.62,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a0a…ca20backed Pacers1c1,500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.451931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Pacers15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22522055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Pacers12c1,488$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6946940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Pacers17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Pacers17c1,468$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4933735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Pacers14c1,444$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.78219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa51c…74bdbacked Pacers9c1,435$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2439…886dbacked Pacers17c1,412$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Pacers12c1,400$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.127324.5%67 W · 206 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pacers1c1,400$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.784200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Pacers10c1,392$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14147134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Pacers14c1,357$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19015141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Pacers15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Pacers17c1,329$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2268953.9%48 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Pacers6c1,297$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.777018.6%13 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.