TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$308,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,630 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers51c79,359$40,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,885.681,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers52c47,038$24,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,548.4736549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers48c30,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,499.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Pacers49c24,922$12,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,211.6538251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Pacers46c17,600$8,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,058.7622453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers46c17,357$8,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,061.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers48c14,143$6,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,793.852,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pacers49c11,618$5,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,693.0623147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Clippers56c9,400$5,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.6642348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers47c4,733$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Pacers48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9209343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers49c3,341$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.092,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Clippers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers53c2,855$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.382,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers49c2,533$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers49c2,056$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pacers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Pacers50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Clippers49c1,225$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.7940350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Clippers51c1,157$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.862466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pacers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Pacers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers53c822.79$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pacers50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Clippers54c687.67$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7326638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Clippers52c633.2$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2724151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Clippers56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27520846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers46c607.62$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.493,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Clippers52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers47c515.61$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.022,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pacers49c505.43$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.341,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pacers47c488.77$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.781,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Clippers52c423.08$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0826640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Pacers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers45c403.88$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Pacers49c400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19422746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers40c393.59$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Clippers68c302.04$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0443269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Clippers50c283.36$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6818650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Clippers51c283.1$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7238942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clippers54c280.59$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Clippers56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.866854.4%37 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Pacers49c242.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11913346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers51c207.84$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Pacers51c203.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10414636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Pacers48c202.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pacers49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Pacers49c196.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Pacers45c191.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2210940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Pacers49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers48c183.02$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.813,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb0…3e75backed Pacers50c177.07$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.369154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers48c169.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.412,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Clippers60c161.02$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1411759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9107…b3e8backed Pacers49c160.68$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked Pacers49c153$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.712259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Clippers56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6631947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Pacers48c145.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7112540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Clippers55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2772250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Clippers56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5514059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Pacers45c110.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Clippers52c109.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.815151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7942…f92cbacked Pacers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507643.4%33 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pacers49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Pacers50c92.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.245653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Pacers48c92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ba…5afbbacked Clippers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+54.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Pacers45c88.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046826.5%124 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Clippers54c86.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6516431.7%52 W · 112 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Pacers46c77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.377960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Clippers55c77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.658251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Pacers29c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.224944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers40c66.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.741,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Pacers45c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8838252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b5…e373backed Pacers49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012359.3%73 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers46c60.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.955,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pacers50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Pacers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016230.9%50 W · 112 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Clippers51c54.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.962546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9d…8d82backed Pacers48c53.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.063641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers48c52.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.722,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Clippers51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4846447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pacers49c50.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.561,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Pacers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pacers49c46.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Clippers67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7838453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Clippers51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1410457.7%60 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Pacers51c41.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Clippers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2227847.1%131 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Pacers49c38.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7111244.6%50 W · 62 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Pacers49c35.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.579850%49 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Clippers53c30.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2214042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Clippers67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.858970.8%63 W · 26 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Clippers55c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.116369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Clippers49c22.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.191,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Clippers54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1223350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Pacers49c20.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.215137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x730b…7f5bbacked Clippers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.