TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8dcd…74c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Stocks at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT5137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.3
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.88
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$40.83
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.29
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.23
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Spread: Nuggets (-19.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.8
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.03
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$88.65
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$69.44
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$246.69
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Spread: Magic (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.2
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.92
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.31
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.35
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$75.81
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$93.8
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.77
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$47.79
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.87
Utah vs. Starsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$80.91
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.89
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$60.65
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.51
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$10.64
Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.27
Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.1
Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$12.95
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$48
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.14
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.93
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.5
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$127.19
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.31
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.36
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.09
Columbia Lions vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.5%+$10.97
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$9.54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+301.4%+$123.04
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.38
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.63
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$82.29
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$105.18
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$7.32
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$16.73
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$52.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Selena Janicijevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.59
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Gabriela Cebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$18.39
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Aliona Bolsova vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Aliona Bolsova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.41
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$12.78
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Sao Paulo: Emilio Nava vs Jaime Fariabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Morelia: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.18
Yokkaichi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$24.42
Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Yokkaichi: Li Tu vs Rio Noguchibacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Hayato Matsuokabacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Sao Paulo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$64.51
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
Bucaramanga: Maxime Janvier vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Maxime Janvier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Morelia: Marc Polmans vs Chris Rodeschbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.26
Kigali 2: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$13.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$11.55
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$28.23
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+154.3%+$22.62
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$92.02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.51
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-79.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+110.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.55
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+89%+$9.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AZ vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.