South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2adae55b0df5d9c6739efcddf010cab3e03ec4067b5928f5b39c2f2cb750629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,690 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 8,300$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.68 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 4,834$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.89 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 1,311$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 941.03$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.6 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 61c | 736.61$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 674.77$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 482.29$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 53c | 457.79$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.06 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 66c | 441.17$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.17 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 64c | 423$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.72 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 35c | 347.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.58 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 329.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 36c | 262.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 50c | 242$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 36c | 240.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 215.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 213.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 30c | 201.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 64c | 179.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…8c15backed Yes | 35c | 165.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 64c | 145.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 36c | 139.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 26c | 116.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 35c | 112.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 38c | 105.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed Yes | 66c | 98.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 97.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 64c | 94.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 34c | 77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 64.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 61.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 37c | 60.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 53.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 65c | 53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 35c | 52.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 34c | 49.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…1100backed Yes | 36c | 43.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 58c | 42.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c6…1084backed Yes | 60c | 41.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 41.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed No | 66c | 39.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 39.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 38.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Yes | 68c | 38.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Yes | 53c | 33.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 57c | 32.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 64c | 29.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 55c | 25.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Yes | 80c | 23.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 64c | 22.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 60c | 22.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 64c | 21.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…9da5backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…d26dbacked Yes | 67c | 19.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 64c | 19.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.