South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6be1bc8dcd71b061bb56efb8fa6bc9aeacf4e74b4cbe48f81355a06ea47d116b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,092 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 8,848$6,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 5,875$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.81 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8015…da39backed Yes | 23c | 2,299$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 19c | 2,108$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,812$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…e4bfbacked Yes | 34c | 1,477$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,246$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 699.65$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…4700backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 499.82$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 499.4$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.69 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 319.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 66c | 209.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 9c | 158.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 22c | 155.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 25c | 147.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 81.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 33c | 75.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 32c | 60.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Yes | 31c | 57.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…2dbabacked Yes | 21c | 56.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 79c | 53.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 52.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 52.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…478abacked Yes | 29c | 51.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…fc01backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…7a24backed Yes | 33c | 45.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 31c | 45.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…6977backed Yes | 33c | 42.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…2c9abacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 73c | 37.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 69c | 36.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b78…d85fbacked No | 69c | 35.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…99a9backed Yes | 31c | 35.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 33c | 32.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 31.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…f954backed No | 69c | 24.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +308.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 71c | 23.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 23.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…8a89backed No | 75c | 21.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed No | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 75c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 76c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed No | 71c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.