South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12228ae2114baffc83b6088934b41e77ef5c7d3547727a407c94216be4ea3c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,801 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 35c | 16,396$5,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,657.47 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 7,599$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 7,069$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.43 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…99f3backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 1,147$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.06 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 711.24$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 679.09$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked No | 69c | 629.88$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 601.68$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 20c | 547.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 24c | 417.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 68c | 412.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 298.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 290$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 34c | 285.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 36c | 277.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 31c | 246$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 38c | 223$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 212.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 179.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…0f35backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Yes | 65c | 165.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 65c | 154.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…e011backed Yes | 68c | 152.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 151.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed No | 69c | 141.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Yes | 33c | 123.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 120.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 118.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed No | 36c | 110.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 73c | 89.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Yes | 69c | 81.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 34c | 73.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 34c | 70.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 66.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 37c | 62.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 62c | 59.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…cf2abacked Yes | 34c | 58.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Yes | 69c | 57.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 69c | 57.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 52.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed No | 64c | 46.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…5546backed No | 32c | 46.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…198ebacked Yes | 32c | 46.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 45.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…3df5backed No | 48c | 44.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Yes | 50c | 44.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…1100backed Yes | 33c | 43.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 58c | 42.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 33c | 38.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 36.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 34c | 33.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…f13abacked Yes | 33c | 33.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 34c | 33.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked No | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…6770backed Yes | 65c | 28.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 35c | 28.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 73c | 24.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked No | 65c | 21.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 54c | 21.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 67c | 16.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.