TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Derby County FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$755,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $755,378 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under44c501,002$222,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,219.533930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over57c196,734$112,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,595.6125551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over56c125,000$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over55c96,541$53,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,121.613748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over57c40,985$23,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,811.762,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over56c24,013$13,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,674.8735652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over57c4,785$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.0146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Over56c3,540$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over58c3,500$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4709272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under43c3,005$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.18146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c2,859$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.422,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.995949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c1,784$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.021,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over56c1,361$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.812,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over58c775.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.8649254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over57c686.74$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.311450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over60c670$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26813565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under43c610.36$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.451546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over59c559.49$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4920054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under44c541.08$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.086354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over57c450$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2529259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over57c450$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under44c401.96$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.920758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17239948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed Over56c356.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over57c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.511866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under44c261.73$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.162536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28c4…48e3backed Under14c240$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under14c240$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over79c226.13$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.221,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over57c225$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over57c220$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.65757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282313%3 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under30c167.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.617037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over77c159.28$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.286,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6365557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under44c143.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.326750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf34…9a33backed Under44c131.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3132164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over57c125$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.753961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under43c116.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over58c115$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.335157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca24…a92abacked Under31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over56c107.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0514551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Under43c95.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.827354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3225553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3226959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under46c67.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.231747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.226158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.230554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.226058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.229057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.228255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.228359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2136259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2112951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Over57c49.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.122751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over56c46.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.37651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df3…9d6bbacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b15…569ebacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over56c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9217138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…a195backed Under44c41.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.28259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.87160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Over57c39.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca77…f088backed Under44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over57c32.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.829556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.771,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.622958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.617456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Under44c26.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-54.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.523658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.522858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Under44c23.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.420556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda1c…5527backed Over57c19.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.