Premier League · resolved market
Derby County FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddc73fc978aa08c84852fcfa2ecdcb1bd6227a6e9b5fb252d9fa479659e4e90a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,524 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 66c | 2,888$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.92 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 34c | 1,538$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,225$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 68c | 880.42$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 440.16$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.21 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 22c | 258.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 25c | 178.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 45cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 149.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 36c | 146.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 33c | 129$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 67c | 129$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 117.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 18c | 111.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 78c | 64.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 30c | 34.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 33.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 47c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derby County FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Derby County FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Derby County FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Derby County FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.