NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e3c8e7d7911e8dc7aa2b92801b9c49cedf0befac46790214fb73adad58c7ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,958 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 374,998$202,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,781.4 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 46c | 307,931$141,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,648.19 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 210,674$100,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,683.48 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 53c | 80,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,000 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 65,000$33,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 32,591$15,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,054.82 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Under | 47c | 13,924$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,544.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Under | 47c | 13,325$6,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 52c | 12,780$6,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,134.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.05 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 6,145$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.83 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Over | 53c | 5,518$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…5487backed Over | 52c | 5,250$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Under | 47c | 4,915$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Over | 53c | 4,170$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 52c | 4,002$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…33eebacked Under | 48c | 3,847$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…63b1backed Over | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Over | 53c | 3,535$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 2,721$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.08 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Over | 53c | 2,705$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dff4backed Over | 53c | 1,987$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed Over | 53c | 1,973$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked Over | 53c | 1,962$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Over | 53c | 1,948$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Over | 53c | 1,936$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Over | 53c | 1,927$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed Over | 53c | 1,906$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Over | 53c | 1,896$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,809$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Over | 53c | 1,125$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.04 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 52c | 989.02$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.73 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 900$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.5 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 810.62$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.1 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 52c | 794.65$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.43 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 727.26$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.08 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 705$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 605.77$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.77 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 52c | 560$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 508.26$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 506.43$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.23 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 498.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 474.13$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.14 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 451.12$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.54 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 54c | 443.37$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.86 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 421.42$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.28 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Under | 47c | 407.12$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 52c | 402.01$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 47c | 361.55$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 339$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 54c | 327.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.17 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 52c | 299.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 49c | 290.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 270.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 251.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 225$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 52c | 215$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 60c | 205.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 201.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 52c | 192.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 58c | 188$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under | 47c | 180.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 52c | 180.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 52c | 169$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 29c | 161.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 47c | 139.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 59c | 137.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 52c | 133.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 52c | 132.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…3e02backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 112.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 109$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 101.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…5859backed Under | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 60c | 95.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 42c | 94.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5this page
- Flames vs. Red WingsRed Wings won
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.