NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16251d2706a179630639e02d99d506026ec8575e672b89fdb2180e410e1fba8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,811 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 42c | 218,534$91,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,753.7 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 58c | 93,424$54,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,185.75 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 58c | 64,414$37,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,360.12 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 58c | 49,049$28,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,448.16 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 42c | 39,629$16,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,131.14 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 58c | 33,318$19,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,324.25 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 15,312$8,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880.75 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 59c | 6,462$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.64 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 6,333$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 42c | 4,316$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.28 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 58c | 3,333$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.14 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…c442backed Under | 59c | 2,003$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 42c | 1,738$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 42c | 900.33$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.18 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 59c | 795$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.05 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Under | 59c | 795$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.05 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 789.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 58c | 777.9$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.18 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 39c | 608.01$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.89 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 57c | 602.88$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.64 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 61c | 536.79$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.72 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 42c | 470.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 59c | 431.26$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Under | 59c | 407$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 42c | 394.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 55c | 391.16$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 381.7$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.73 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 42c | 362.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 42c | 340.93$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 41c | 285.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…b3f2backed Under | 71c | 283.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 42c | 281.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.41 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Under | 59c | 276.27$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 42c | 255.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 60c | 250.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 42c | 246.28$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 39c | 242.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.82 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 42c | 232.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 59c | 227$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Under | 59c | 227$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 41c | 216.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 42c | 214.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 43c | 209.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 42c | 202.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 59c | 191.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 59c | 167.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed Over | 43c | 147.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 42c | 144.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 42c | 143.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 42c | 135.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 56c | 134.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 30c | 127.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 42c | 119$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 60c | 115.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 115.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Under | 60c | 106$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…316abacked Over | 42c | 101.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 42c | 93.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…108bbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Over | 42c | 74.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 42c | 67.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 64c | 60.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Over | 42c | 57.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 42c | 54.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 56c | 53.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…faa9backed Under | 59c | 50.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 61c | 50.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…18d6backed Over | 42c | 47.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 44.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 45c | 43.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…81b7backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Under | 49c | 41.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 59c | 35.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9265backed Under | 59c | 33.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5this page
- Flames vs. Red WingsRed Wings won
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.